CIRUN - Climate Information: Responding to User Needs
Home > Environmental Change in the News

Environmental Change in the News

Scientists learn how to predict El Niños 18 months in advance -- study

Published: Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Scientists can predict El Niño climate events up to nine months earlier by recording ocean water temperatures north of Australia, according to a new study in the journal Nature Climate Change. Now an El Niño can be anticipated as far as 18 months in advance.

Climate scientist Nandini Ramesh found that all El Niños begin with a massive discharge of warm water from below the surface in the equatorial western Pacific. No one had made the discovery sooner because the warm subsurface water is difficult to detect using satellite measurements.

"When we looked below the surface, there was this big blob of warm water that was there far before anything was visible on the surface," said Ramesh, a pre-Ph.D. student at the University of New South Wales in Australia.

"We hope that this will enhance our ability to predict El Niño so that communities can begin preparing for their effects much earlier," Ramesh added (Stephen Pincock,  ABC, June 25). -- LJ


Reprinted from ClimateWire with permission from Environment & Energy Publishing, LLC. www.eenews.net. 202-628-6500

 

Back to Top

Reprinted from ClimateWire with permission from Environment & Energy Publishing, LLC. www.eenews.net. 202-628-6500.


A global shift toward obesity has serious climate consequences -- study

Ancient N.C. records show sea-level rise is related to warmer temperatures

As multiple fires shock the state, scientists wonder, what comes next?

As vote looms, report finds insurance unprepared for climate challenges

Australian archbishop criticized for denying climate science

Canadian bird populations under siege by climate change

Changing sea conditions threaten a major world food source -- U.N. report Lisa Friedman, E&E reporter

Climate change affecting Scotland's plants, agency says

Climate change and growth will strain water supplies in Wash. -- study

Climate change threatens penguins in Antarctica -- study

Climate models need to account for species interactions, researchers say

East Coast faces faster sea-level rise in a warming world

Electricity generation is 'burning our rivers,' a problem for the drought- scorched Southeast

Farmers, used to betting on the weather, adapt to a new 'game'

High Park fire follows in pine beetle's tracks

Minn. floods, early tropical storms fuel questions about changing climate

National fire threat level rises as Colo. officials seek more help to manage fire- prone forests

Number of 95 F days will quadruple in parts of Calif. -- study

Polar bear dens could be susceptible to global warming

Recognition of climate change holds strong in U.K. despite economic woes

Refugee influx, budget shortfall compound food crisis in Sahel Lisa

Satellites provide more consistent data, indicating lower CO2 emissions levels from deforestation -- study

Scientists learn how to predict El Niños 18 months in advance -- study

Senate poised to vote on global warming as a consideration in flood insurance

Siberian lake reveals new clues about Arctic climate

Summertime, and the living is hot and may get hotter

White House rep says adaptation is necessary but makes no new commitments


Archive